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Psychology: the biases that cost money

Risk, psychology & your plan · All levels · 7 min read
You will learn to
  • Name the common biases
  • Recognise them in your own trades
  • Concrete counter-measures

Biases every trader has

BiasIn tradingCounter
Loss aversionHolding losers, cutting winners earlyStops and targets set before entry; no manual moves
FOMOChasing a candle that already movedOnly enter at your planned location
RecencyThree losses → "the strategy is broken"Judge over 30–50 trades, not a week
OverconfidenceRaising size after a streakFixed risk %; guardrail cap
Confirmation biasSeeing only the signals that agree with your positionWrite the invalidation before entry
Hindsight bias"It was obvious" (often a repainted chart)Bar Replay; as-it-happened patterns

State matters

Tired, angry, or needing the money — not the time to trade. The last checklist line ("I am calm") is there for a reason. Many traders set a daily routine: plan before the session, trade the plan, review after — and no trading outside it.

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Check yourself

1. You close winners quickly but let losers run "until they come back". Which bias?
  1. FOMO
  2. Loss aversion ✓
  3. Recency
Losses feel worse than equal gains feel good.
2. Best defence against hindsight bias?
  1. Studying perfect patterns on old charts
  2. Practising on hidden history (Bar Replay, the replay challenge) ✓
  3. Trading more
Decide before you see what happens next.

Terms in this lesson

FOMO
Fear of missing out — chasing moves.
Loss aversion
Feeling losses more than equal gains — holding losers, cutting winners.
Practise it on real charts. In the app, this lesson comes with real examples (reveal what happened next), a graded drill and the track test. Open the Academy in NexusCore — free →